Nintendo has shared what analysts describe as a "cautious" sales projection for the Switch 2, reflecting uncertainty surrounding global tariffs.
In its latest financial report, Nintendo anticipates selling 15 million Switch 2 units and 45 million games during its fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The next-generation console launches worldwide on June 5.
The company explained its forecast accounts for current U.S. tariff rates implemented April 10, though it acknowledged potential changes could impact projections. "We're closely monitoring market conditions to adjust our strategy accordingly," Nintendo stated.
Daniel Ahmad, Research Director at Niko Partners, labeled the 15 million target as "conservative," noting in a social media post that Nintendo appears to be "accounting for volatility in tariffs, pricing, and production despite strong pre-order performance."
Ahmad suggested Nintendo might revise targets upward if tariff conditions improve, but emphasized current challenges: "The bigger concern involves ripple effects already impacting the console's launch environment, compounded by potential tariff increases."
Notably, achieving 15 million units would position Switch 2 among the most successful console launches ever, surpassing the original Switch's first-year sales of 14.87 million units.
Consumer interest appears exceptionally strong. Following a tariff-related delay, Switch 2 preorders launched April 24 at the unchanged $449.99 price point—with predictably overwhelming response. Nintendo has since alerted U.S. customers who ordered through the My Nintendo Store that delivery dates aren't guaranteed due to extraordinary demand.
For complete purchasing details, visit IGN's comprehensive Switch 2 preorder guide.
